
Mining Capital Expenditure Tracker: Q4 2025 Industry Update
Aggregate and company-level capex trends across the top 20 diversified miners through year-end 2025, covering the growth and sustaining split, project sanctions, and the trade-off between capital spending and shareholder returns.
Capex by the top 20 mining producers reached roughly $79 billion in 2025, up from about $74 billion in 2024, with copper and gold spending growing at close to double the industry average. Growth capital is concentrated in a narrow set of sanctioned projects, while sustaining intensity has normalized after the post-pandemic inflation surge. The defining tension entering 2026 is between funding energy-transition copper supply, where capital intensity for new projects has climbed toward $22,000 per tonne of annual capacity, and returning cash through buybacks and progressive dividends. The report sets out where spending landed in the fourth quarter, which projects crossed final investment decision, and how allocation has shifted across the majors.
What's inside
- 01Executive Summary: 2025 Capex Outturn and the Allocation Debate
- 02Aggregate Industry Capex: Full-Year 2025 Versus Guidance
- 03Growth Versus Sustaining Capital: Sector-Wide Split and Trends
- 04Company-Level Capex Scorecards: Top 20 Producers
- 05Project Sanctions and Final Investment Decisions: Q4 2025 Activity
- 06Copper Pipeline Capital Requirements: Intensity and Affordability
- 07Capital Discipline Under Pressure: Cash Across Growth, Returns, and M&A
- 08Shareholder-Return Competition: Buybacks, Dividends, and the Capex Trade-Off
- 09Regional Spending Shifts: Latin America, Africa, and Australia
- 102026 Capex Guidance: Early Indications and Revision Risk
- 11Implications for Supply Delivery and Commodity Balances
- 12Data Sources, Disclosure Conventions, and Methodology
- ↳Mining Capital Expenditure Tracker trend dashboard (historical + forward scenarios)
- ↳M&A and capital-raising activity tracker
- ↳Operating-cost inflation and productivity index
- ↳Equipment and labor utilization benchmarks
- ↳Peer group valuation dispersion chart
- ↳Sensitivity matrix: price, cost, and policy variables
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