
China Rare Earth Control Architecture: Quotas, State Consolidation, and Export Licensing
Documents the mechanics of China's domestic rare earth control system, from the two-group consolidation and annual quota allocation to the export-licensing apparatus that governs downstream magnet and separated-oxide flows.
China's rare earth supply control rests on three interlocking instruments: production and separation quotas allocated to the two state groups, China Rare Earth Group and China Northern Rare Earth; an export-licensing regime expanded since 2023 to cover seven medium and heavy rare earths and sintered NdFeB magnets; and a consolidation structure routing most heavy rare earth output through a single state entity. The 2025 quota round was published only in part, itself a signaling choice, and mid-year measures formally codified total-quantity control across mining, separation, and imported feedstock. The April 2025 export permits on selected heavy rare earths and magnets remained in force despite the November suspension of the broader October controls, preserving Beijing's ability to modulate midstream supply as a discrete lever.
What's inside
- 01Executive Summary
- 02The Two-Group Architecture: Formation, Ownership, and Quota Eligibility
- 03Production Quota Mechanics: Mining Allocation by Deposit Type and Recipient
- 04Smelting and Separation Quotas: Midstream Throughput Limits
- 05NdFeB Magnet Output and the Extension of Controls to Downstream Products
- 06The Export-Licensing Framework: From Gallium in 2023 to Heavy Rare Earths in 2025
- 07Opacity as Policy: The Partial 2025 Quota Round and Its Signaling Effect
- 08Feedstock Extension: Import-Origin Ore Under Domestic Quota Scope
- 09Pricing and Market Coordination Under the State-Group System
- 10Stress Points and Enforcement Gaps in the Domestic Regime
- 11Strategic Implications for Non-Chinese Separation and Magnet Capacity
- 12Methodology and Data Sources
- ↳China Rare Earth Control Architecture trend dashboard (historical + forward scenarios)
- ↳China import/export trend dashboard by commodity
- ↳Smelter margin and utilization tracking
- ↳Policy-event calendar with demand response
- ↳Domestic inventory and exchange-flow monitor
- ↳Sensitivity matrix: price, cost, and policy variables


